Ben's predictions for New Hampshire:
Hillary Clinton- 1st
Barack Obama- 2nd
John Edwards- 3rd
Mitt Romney- 1st
John McCain- 2nd
Ron Paul- 3rd
Actual Results
Hillary Clinton- 1st
Barack Obama- 2nd
John Edwards- 3rd
John McCain- 1st
Mitt Romney- 2nd
Mike Huckabee- 3rd
That's a 50% accuracy rating. At least he did better than Iowa.
But look what happened in the past week. Ben's comments on the race:
January 4th - "In four days Hillary will win New Hampshire and she will be our nominee."
January 5th - "No question after tonight Hillary will be on the rise once again!"
January 6th - "Hillary needs to get on track here, this is getting out of control fast."
January 7th - "With Iowa gone, New Hampshire going up in flames and Clinton's very weak campaign team in Nevada, I have almost given up hope for a comeback."
January 8th, in his signature 72 point font, "MSNBC JUST CALLED IT!!!!"
Conclusion? Ben can read polls. Polls had Obama up by ten all week, so Ben had given up hope. Ben is no more politically insightful than Chris Matthews. And that's not very insightful. And the funniest part of Ben's rants? He says Hillary has a very weak campaign team in Nevada. (One of) Ben's arch-nemeses, Nate Dela Piedra, points out that the only reason for Ben's comment is that the same guy who ran Dave Marsden's campaign is running Nevada for Hillary. Nate predicts:
1. Hillary loses NH, and Obama's momentum causes her to lose in Nevada.
2. Ben points out that Hillary's Nevada Director is Robby Mook.
3. Ben points out that Robby managed Delegate Marsden's 20 point win in 2005 (in a 50/50 district that had been represented by a Republican for 32 years).
4. Ben blames Marsden for the following 8 years for any problems that occur during an Obama administration.
One didn't end up being accurate, but I would put money on 2-4.
3 comments:
#4 only if Obama wins.
How many arch-nemeses does Tribbett have?
Was this groupie called Aimee Fausser or Jaime Petrasek? There appears to generally be a lack of "female support" in Ben's column besides the aforementioned two young women.
Impossible to say, 1130, impossible to say. Guesses have ranged anywhere from 45 individual people to half of northern Virginia. Your guess is as good as anyone's.
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